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Re: BAN the london marathon...
Posted by 'itpro' on 23 Apr 2012 @ 15:49

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itproJoined: August 2001
Total Posts: 6
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The reason people tried to teach you how to do mathematics at school was to allow you to uncderstand the world. The fact that you either failed to listen, comprehend or (probably) turn-up is why you don't understand much.

The Martathon has been run for 31 years. The first years only had betwen 8,000 to 10,000 runners. It's now around 50,000 entrants per year thus, a quick estimate would show that claiming 30,000 runners had been the average wouldn't be too many.

So:-

Thats 30,000 X 31 = 930,000 runners.

There has been 10 deaths in that time. So... that's a probability of death of about 1 for every 93,000 entrants: displayed as 93,000:1.

The TT has consistently killed 2 riders for the 100 years and thus we can just treat it as 2 deaths per yer. I can't find the numbers of entrants for the IOM TT but, let's guess, it's as high as 1,000 per year. Obviuously, that's going to be too high but that should work against my argument, so that's fair.

That would give 2 deaths per 1000, thus 500:1 ratio.

So... that's a 500:1 chance of death each year versus 93,000:1 chance.

...... getting the point are we.... or are those maths too tough for you?

Ian

Message Thread:

BAN the london marathon... by 'PGH' (22 Apr 2012 @ 21:10)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'itpro' << You are here!

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'PGH' (23 Apr 2012 @ 18:44)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'michaelg36' (23 Apr 2012 @ 22:06)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'MattCortes' (24 Apr 2012 @ 10:38)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'itpro' (24 Apr 2012 @ 13:27)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'davidmc' (24 Apr 2012 @ 15:04)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'itpro' (24 Apr 2012 @ 15:20)

cont.... by 'itpro' (24 Apr 2012 @ 15:23)

Re: cont.... by 'richpudd2003' (25 Apr 2012 @ 23:31)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'PaulMRotax' (24 Apr 2012 @ 15:40)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'itpro' (24 Apr 2012 @ 17:29)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'PaulMRotax' (24 Apr 2012 @ 17:57)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'DavidG' (24 Apr 2012 @ 16:38)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'itpro' (24 Apr 2012 @ 17:32)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'davidmc' (24 Apr 2012 @ 18:52)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'Rafe005' (24 Apr 2012 @ 19:19)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'itpro' (25 Apr 2012 @ 13:02)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'Rafe005' (25 Apr 2012 @ 13:36)

Re: BAN the london marathon... by 'itpro' (25 Apr 2012 @ 12:50)

Ahhhh poor little PGH..... by 'itpro' (24 Apr 2012 @ 13:35)

Ahhhh Itpro by 'agrandad' (25 Apr 2012 @ 13:20)

Re: Ahhhh Itpro by 'itpro' (25 Apr 2012 @ 13:25)

Re: Ahhhh Itpro by 'itpro' (25 Apr 2012 @ 13:27)

Re: Ahhhh Itpro by 'agrandad' (25 Apr 2012 @ 14:09)

Re: Ahhhh Itpro by 'Thebrick' (25 Apr 2012 @ 16:26)

Re: Ahhhh Itpro druan! by 'PGH' (25 Apr 2012 @ 17:13)

Re: Ahhhh Itpro by 'dynamax' (29 Apr 2012 @ 10:47)

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